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ABSTRACT
Dealing with Uncertainties in Computing: from Probabilistic and Interval Uncertainty to Combination of Different Approaches, with Application to Geoinformatics, Bioinformatics, and Engineering
Vladik Kreinovich
University of Texas at El Paso, USA
vladik@utep.edu
Abstract:
Most data processing techniques traditionally used in scientific and
engineering practice are statistical. These techniques are based on
the assumption that we know the probability distributions of
measurement errors etc.
In practice, often, we do not know the distributions, we only know
the bound D on the measurement accuracy --hence, after the get the
measurement result X, the only information that we have about the
actual (unknown) value x of the measured quantity is that x belongs
to the interval [X-D,X+D]. Techniques for data processing under such
interval uncertainty are called interval computations; these
techniques have been developed since 1950s.
In many practical problems, we have a combination of different types
of uncertainty, where we know the probability distribution for some
quantities, intervals for other quantities, and expert information
for yet other quantities.
There exist a lot of theoretical research and practical applications
in dealing with these types of uncertainty: interval, fuzzy, and
combined. However, even for the simplest basic data processing
techniques, it is often still necessary to undertake a lot of
research to transit from probabilistic to interval and fuzzy uncertainty.
The purpose of this talk is to describe the theoretical background
for interval and combined techniques, to describe the existing
practical applications, and ideally, to come up with a roadmap for
such techniques.
We start with the problem of chip design in computer engineering. In
this problem, traditional interval methods lead to estimates with
excess width. The reason for this width is that often, in addition
to the intervals of possible values of inputs, we also have partial
information about the probabilities of different values within these
intervals -- and standard interval techniques ignore this information.
It is therefore desirable to extend interval techniques to the
situations when, in addition to intervals, we also have a partial
probabilistic information. In the talk, we give a brief overview of
these techniques, and we emphasize the following three application
areas: computer engineering, bioinformatics, and geoinformatics.
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